Sociology, political science, law, education, policy, institutions, and research on how groups organize and change.
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Paradigm Challenge
Digitalization efforts in low-income countries fail to reduce carbon emissions and can even make environmental outcomes worse.
Paradigm Challenge
Combining different fields of knowledge slows down the speed of technology transfer but creates much deeper industrial impact.
Paradigm Challenge
Audited financial statements can make stock market crashes more severe by giving investors a false sense of security.
Cosmic Scale
Critical infrastructure in Alexandria will suffer total functional failure decades before the city is actually underwater.
Paradigm Challenge
A company can charge two different people two different prices even when those people can easily sell the product to each other for free.
Paradigm Challenge
Digital platforms will eventually collapse because they are trying to extract more effort than the human body is biologically capable of recovering.
Paradigm Challenge
Government debt limits have nothing to do with protecting future generations from paying back our loans.
Paradigm Challenge
Small business loans in middle-income countries are priced based on the owner’s personal biography rather than the company’s actual financial health.
Paradigm Challenge
Some countries are not developing toward a better future, but are stuck in a permanent, stable state of being half-built.
Nature Is Weird
Stock market breakouts accompanied by major news headlines are more likely to crash back down than jumps that happen in total silence.
Practical Magic
Baseball managers influence their team's outcome by as much as two wins per season regardless of player talent.
Paradigm Challenge
Opening a new bank branch in a Muslim neighborhood in India has almost zero impact on the number of people who take out loans.
Nature Is Weird
Financial experts become worse at spotting corporate lies when the media talks more about the greenwashing problem.
Nature Is Weird
The way major investment firms pay their staff actually forces financial advisors to commit fraud against their own clients.
Nature Is Weird
Modern fund managers are more likely to buy stocks from their ancestors' home countries, even if their family left those countries generations ago.
Paradigm Challenge
Building a massive, specialized factory is a more effective way to control the government than hiring a team of lobbyists.
Nature Is Weird
Children who have their parents' high credit scores added to their own accounts are significantly more likely to default on their debts.
Paradigm Challenge
Private equity firms will intentionally make a local hospital less profitable and less efficient to help a different hospital succeed.
Nature Is Weird
A suicide in your local neighborhood can stop you from buying stocks for several years, even if you never knew the person who died.
Paradigm Challenge
A group of AI companies is passing the same $1.4 trillion back and forth to make the industry look more successful than it actually is.
Paradigm Challenge
Brazil saw a massive surge in legal firearm registrations between 2019 and 2021 without a single corresponding increase in gun suicides.
Nature Is Weird
Reducing the number of required AI queries for employees actually led to a 7% increase in total sales.
Paradigm Challenge
Tightening the endorsement rules on arXiv caused a 50% drop in new researchers entering fields like economics and quantitative biology.
Nature Is Weird
Traders on a prediction market priced in a world leader's death four and a half hours before the government officially confirmed it.
Paradigm Challenge
A $200 speeding ticket is a punishment for a teacher but merely a convenience fee for a millionaire.
Nature Is Weird
3G internet access in rural India boosts vaccination rates for toddlers but has no effect on the shots given to newborns.
Nature Is Weird
Children as young as 12 treat social media age-verification screens like puzzles to be solved rather than rules to be followed.
Nature Is Weird
Military officers and political elites now have a financial incentive to keep wars going so they can profit from prediction markets.
Paradigm Challenge
Aging populations are not actually the reason governments are struggling to save money.
Nature Is Weird
Children born to a Hindu father and a Muslim mother in India are legally barred from inheriting any property from their parents.
Collision
A computer program can solve human moral disagreements more consistently than a room full of people voting on who is right.
Nature Is Weird
Two groups of people can be persuaded to change their political views without ever talking to each other or seeing a single ad.
Paradigm Challenge
The textbook rule for choosing the most cost-effective project actually becomes the worst possible strategy in a competitive environment.
Paradigm Challenge
A new economic framework called System K replaces the dollar with the megawatt-hour as the fundamental unit of money.
Paradigm Challenge
Printing money only helps the poor if the cash is handed out to everyone at the exact same time.
Nature Is Weird
A corner is the most powerful starting position in a 2D territory race as long as you are faster than your opponent.
Paradigm Challenge
AI models are making paywalled scientific research invisible by only citing and learning from articles that are free to read.
Nature Is Weird
The Wall Street Journal published biasedly positive stories about companies connected to its own owners to temporarily pump up their stock prices.
Nature Is Weird
The physical shape of a county's connection to its neighbors is the most accurate predictor of how many jobs it will lose in a recession.
Paradigm Challenge
AI companies might have no legal power to stop people from using their models to train better, cheaper competitors.
Paradigm Challenge
The world's most famous poverty-alleviation model appears to be succeeding in China only because the borrowers are hiding their failures from officials.
Paradigm Challenge
The true cost of using AI is not the price of generating a document but the time it takes for a human to check if it is wrong.
Nature Is Weird
Investors and analysts are now making fewer mistakes because they prefer reading financial reports written by AI instead of humans.
Paradigm Challenge
The gold standard years between 1873 and 1896 saw a hidden form of inflation that made debts much harder to pay.
Paradigm Challenge
Tech companies invest four dollars into the oil and gas industry for every single dollar they spend on green energy.
Paradigm Challenge
A standard statistical correction used by city planners for decades actually makes their research less accurate.
Nature Is Weird
Experienced stone tool makers cannot figure out how a prehistoric tool was made just by looking at the finished product.
Nature Is Weird
The Voynich manuscript contains two distinct writing styles that a mathematical model can identify with 89 percent accuracy.
Paradigm Challenge
The law of comparative advantage that defines modern global trade was not actually invented by David Ricardo.
Paradigm Challenge
France maintains a civic floor that forces citizens to condemn political violence even when the victim is an opponent.