economics Paradigm Challenge

Building big concrete walls to stop the sea often backfires, making communities even more likely to lose everything later on.

March 26, 2026

Original Paper

Rebounding Vulnerability, Maladaptation and Socio-Political Failure of Coastal Embankments in the Sundarbans Delta

Radhika Bhargava, Amrita Sen, Miles Kenney-Lazar, Daniel A. Friess

SSRN · 6468927

The Takeaway

Standard logic suggests engineered defenses keep people safe, but this study found that when these embankments inevitably fail, they trigger a negative loop. The false sense of security leads to asset accumulation and socio-economic fragility that results in catastrophic, irreversible loss compared to communities without such walls.

From the abstract

Shoreline erosion is a global issue, especially along the mangrove-dominant shorelines. Unchecked land loss has led to economic losses for shoreline dwellers, resulting in displacement, migration, and reduced resilience. While engineered coastal defences are a common form of coastal adaptation to prevent shoreline erosion, they are increasingly failing to protect shoreline communities. However, a critical gap remains in understanding the causal mechanisms through which these physical failures in