economics Practical Magic

Instead of testing a whole city's sewage, you can find new drugs 300 times faster just by checking the pipes at one homeless shelter.

March 27, 2026

Original Paper

Improved Detection and Tracking of Substance Use Patterns Through Sentinel Wastewater-Based Surveillance at Urban Shelters

S. Monty Ghosh, Nicole Acosta, Darina Kuzma, Aleshia Kormendi, Navid Sedaghat, Paul Westlund, Kayla Moffett, Vijay Ramlakhan, R. Benson Weyant, Maria Bautista, Gail Visser, Xiaotian Dai, Xuewen Lu, Gopal Achari, Rhonda Clark, Jason Cabaj, Tyler Williamson, Stephanie D. VandenBerg, Danielle Southern, Xiaoli Lilly Pang, Bonita E. Lee, Susana Y. Kimura, Jeff Van Humbeck, Kevin Frankowski, Christine O’Grady, Casey Hubert, Michael Parkins

SSRN · 6463724

The Takeaway

Standard municipal drug tracking is often too diluted to catch emerging threats. Granular 'sentinel' testing at specific high-risk locations detected dangerous additives like xylazine much earlier and at concentrations hundreds of times higher than city-wide treatment plants, proving that small-scale monitoring is a far superior early-warning system.

From the abstract

Background: Wastewater-based surveillance (WBS) provides real-time population-level information on trends in substance use. Conventional WBS programs monitor entire municipalities through wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs). Because substance use and overdoses disproportionately impact specific high-risk groups, more granular monitoring may provide unique insights. We performed WBS in urban shelters serving people experiencing homelessness – where substance use and poisonings are common – compar