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Paradigm Challenge  /  Economics

People are scared of 'shadow banks,' but these private credit funds actually have six times more cash on hand than regular banks and almost never crash.

There is a persistent narrative that the growth of private lending is a systemic ticking time bomb similar to the 2008 crisis. However, data shows these funds are structured much more conservatively than banks, with way more equity and a lack of the maturity mismatches that cause financial panics.

Original Paper

Private Credit, Balance Sheets and Financial Stability

Gregor Matvos, Tomasz Piskorski, Amit Seru

SSRN  ·  6456977

We document new evidence on the capitalization, funding structure, and performance of private credit funds using comprehensive fund- and asset-level data covering most of the industry. Private credit funds are highly capitalized, with equity typically accounting for 65–80% of total assets—more than six times the capitalization of U.S. banks, where equity represents about 10%. Debt usage is moderate and largely reflects bank credit lines used for liquidity management. Fund lives average 10–12 yea