economics Paradigm Challenge

Privacy laws meant to protect you can accidentally block marginalized people from getting bank accounts for years.

March 19, 2026

Original Paper

When Privacy Protects but Excludes: The Costs and Benefits of Privacy Regulation in Credit Markets

Sumit Agarwal, Pulak Ghosh, Peiyi Jin, Shohini Kundu, Nishant Vats, Xinbo Wang, Yingze Xu

SSRN · 6435099

The Takeaway

When a major Indian lender lost access to smartphone data due to new privacy rules, they couldn't 'see' the creditworthiness of borrowers without bank histories. Instead of protecting these users, the rule caused a massive credit contraction that prevented marginalized applicants from getting any formal loans for the next four years.

From the abstract

This paper studies the consequences of privacy regulation by exploiting Google’s 2019 restriction on CDR access for a major Indian FinTech lender. We show that this intervention reflects a key policy trade-off in digital credit markets: strengthened privacy protections raise loan applications, consistent with higher demand, yet simultaneously induce tighter screening, reflecting an overall contraction in credit supply. This credit contraction disproportionately excludes economically and socially