Populist movements in Poland are fueled by a decline in church attendance rather than a lack of money.
Regional data reveals that areas with rapid secularization are the strongest predictors of support for populist leaders. Most political observers blame economic inequality and job losses for the rise of the right wing. In reality, the loss of religious identity creates a social vacuum that political movements rush to fill. When traditional religious structures weaken, people look for new forms of belonging and moral certainty in nationalistic politics. This means fixing the economy will not stop populism if the underlying cultural shift continues.
Secularisation as a driver of single axis political conflict: evidence from Poland
SocArXiv · wud4h_v1
This study examines how regionally heterogeneous secularisation can increase the saliency of religion as a determinant of political behaviour. Changes in the electoral outcomes in Poland over the last 25 years are discussed in a comparative setting, where the regional variation of election results is compared with that of Germany, France, Italy, and Spain. When placed against the backdrop of major European democracies, Poland emerges as an outlier where, over time, the voting outcomes align alon