economics Nature Is Weird

You’re way more likely to change your mind about the economy if you see a simple chart than if you read the exact same info in a sentence.

April 13, 2026

Original Paper

Visual vs. textual communication: Impact on firms’ inflation expectations and central bank credibility

SSRN · 6560091

The Takeaway

Research shows that business owners adjust their expectations for inflation much more sharply when data is presented visually. While the effect is powerful, it is also fleeting, suggesting that the 'vibe' of a graph carries more weight than the actual facts it contains.

From the abstract

We causally identify how firms’ inflation expectations and their trust in the central bank respond to information with the same relevant content presented through different formats in a desinflationary environment. Simple text and visual communication effectively influence inflation expectations, while complex text messaging fails to yield similar effects. Firms exposed to visual representations of information adjust their expectations significantly more than those receiving equivalent informati