economics Paradigm Challenge

Being flooded with cheap stuff from China actually forces local companies to stop being lazy and invent something truly groundbreaking.

March 27, 2026

Original Paper

Innovation under Chinese import competition: Evidence from firms in Spanish regions

Enrique López-Bazo, Alessia Matano

SSRN · 6471157

The Takeaway

Common wisdom suggests that low-cost foreign competition crushes local industry, but this study of Spanish firms found that import competition specifically drove 'radical' innovation—new-to-the-market products—rather than incremental changes, especially in regions with dense manufacturing ecosystems.

From the abstract

This paper examines how exposure to Chinese import competition shapes firms’ innovation and whether regional context amplifies these effects. We move beyond invention-based proxies by focusing on product and process innovation and, within product innovation, distinguishing radical from incremental innovation. We combine a representative panel of Spanish firms with sector-region measures of exposure to Chinese imports and identify causal effects using an instrumental-variables strategy. We find t