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Paradigm Challenge  /  Economics

War actually increases social mobility, but only by dragging the rich kids down to everyone else's level.

Evidence from Colombia shows that while war is generally assumed to trap the poor, it actually disproportionately destroys the educational advantages of the wealthy. This 'levels' society not by lifting the bottom, but by increasing the likelihood of downward mobility for those at the top.

Original Paper

Conflict, Education, and Intergenerational Mobility: Evidence from Colombia

Daniela Horta-Sáenz

SSRN  ·  6302118

This paper examines how armed conflict shapes educational attainment across socioeconomic backgrounds and its implications for intergenerational mobility. Using data from Colombia and an instrumental variable strategy that exploits variation in U.S. military assistance interacted with proximity to military bases, I document that conflict reduces educational attainment disproportionately among individuals from more educated families-a pattern that reflects a weakening in the intergenerational per