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Cosmic Scale  /  Biology

Wheat stems physically collapse under their own weight during a nuclear winter, meaning we would have far less food than current models predict.

Most survival simulations assume that if we could just get enough light to plants, we could keep farming after a nuclear war. Experimental tests in growth chambers show that wheat grown in low-light, nuclear winter conditions becomes structurally weak. The stems fail to support the weight of the plant and buckle, leading to a total crop failure that existing models do not account for. This structural collapse happens even if the temperature and water levels are managed. It suggests that the global food supply would vanish much faster than previously estimated, making the aftermath of a nuclear conflict even more catastrophic.

Original Paper

Crop yields under simulated nuclear winter: a growth chamber experiment

Blouin, S.; Abrams, D. R.; Ben-Zeev, R.; Anderson, C. T.; Lasky, J. R.; Denkenberger, D.

bioRxiv  ·  10.64898/2026.05.05.723012

A global nuclear war could inject soot into the stratosphere, blocking sunlight and causing rapid cooling. Assessments of the resulting agricultural collapse rely on crop models never validated under such conditions. We grew wheat, canola, and potato in growth chambers simulating the light and temperature of an extreme nuclear winter at tropical and temperate sites. In the tropical chamber (18-20 {degrees}C, 200 mol m-2 s-1 PAR), all three crops produced viable yields. Wheat yielded 2.1-2.3 t/ha